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Investor Sentiment

Only XRP Buyers in Profit, Others in Losses: Glassnode

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  • Only XRP holders are in profit, while ETH, SOL, and BTC mid-term buyers face losses.
  • Market weakness persists as declining prices and reduced trading volume signal prolonged consolidation and investor caution.
  • Analysts warn of potential sell-offs if prices stay below mid-term holders’ purchase levels.

A recent post from on-chain analytics platform Glassnode has shown that only XRP buyers are currently in profit among the buyers of major cryptocurrencies. The analysis compared current coin prices to the cost of purchase by buyers between December 2024 and January 2025.

The chart shows that only XRP buyers have made a positive return on their investment. With a current price of $2.14, holders who bought XRP in late 2024 have made 11% gains on their investments.

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Source: Glassnode

Mid-Term XRP Holders Escape Crypto Slump

The result is important, given that there have been consolidation and increased volatility in the crypto market in recent months. In contrast to XRP, other top cryptocurrencies haven’t performed well.

For instance, Solana (SOL)’s current price of $146, shows that it is down 28% from its price during the period mentioned above. Meanwhile, Ethereum’s (ETH) price decline is worse than SOL’s.

Its current price of $1,800 shows a 36% loss for buyers between December 2024 and January 2025. Bitcoin’s (BTC) loss is the smallest compared to ETH and SOL. It is down 1% from its purchase price of $95,000 during the period under review.

The data provided a deeper understanding of “top buyers.” they are those who enter the market when crypto asset prices are near or at all-time highs. Usually, this group of buyers display signs of financial pressure when the current prices of the crypto assets drop below their purchase prices.

Should the price weakness continue, this group can go on a massive selling activity. Glassnode explained that a sign of broader market weakness is when the prices of digital assets remain below their purchase price for those who have held such assets for three to six months.

Trading Volume Dips as Crypto Market Cap Falls

This price drop is a sign of a more cautious stance or a drop in interest in the token among investors. In addition, it suggests that consolidation phases may be longer before the market returns to an uptrend.

Meanwhile, analysts suggest that the performance of these top cryptocurrencies within the next few weeks would provide insights into broader market direction. The total crypto market cap is currently $2.92 trillion, down 1.05% in the last 24 hours, based on CoinMarketCap data.

Also, its trading volume is down 5.46% within the same period. But it’s still strong at $66.15 billion.

Altcoins Poised for Rally After CNH/USD Bottoms: Analyst

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  • Altcoins are likely to rally soon, after the CNH/USD chart forms a bottom, analyst Michaël van de Poppe says.
  • Historical patterns indicate that Ethereum and altcoins surged after similar lows were seen on CNH/USD.
  • If investor risk appetite returns, an altcoin breakout should be expected after months of stagnation.

Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe recently posted why altcoin prices are not moving on X and why this may change soon. Van de Poppe explained that one of the main reasons behind the slack in altcoin markets is that investors are cautious and are refraining from taking risks, instead sticking to the U.S. Dollar.

But van de Poppe notes that something very important could be happening now. He mentioned that in the past, when Ethereum (ETH) and other altcoins had their rallies, everything began after the CNH/USD (the Chinese Yuan against the U.S. Dollar) pair reached its lowest point.

This happened in July 2019. Back then, when CNH/USD bottomed out, the crypto markets, including Ether and altcoins, started surging.

Historical Patterns Suggest Altcoins Set to Surge

Fast forward to now, van de Poppe explains that the CNH versus USD chart has descended to a bottom this month. If history were to repeat itself once again, it might suggest that altcoins are about to reverse the current trend and begin climbing. In effect, he believes that the current low in the CNH/USD might ignite the next altcoin rally.

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Source: X (@CryptoMichNL)

Van de Poppe’s sentiment is based on the idea that if the Chinese Yuan becomes stronger against the Dollar or if it stops weakening, investors might start taking risks again; thus leading to money flowing into cryptocurrencies.

Another crypto analyst with the X handle, BlackPro, also agreed with this view.  He said that if this recent bottom in CNH/USD is indeed a real turning point, then perhaps this is the start of a fresh ‘altseason’, which is a period when altcoins, or cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin (BTC), outperform the leading cryptocurrency and experience major price increases.

Although nothing in the markets is ever guaranteed, many traders are watching to see if this pattern will hold true again. If the CNH/USD truly has bottomed out with risk appetite returning, it might be a sign for the altcoin rally that has been greatly anticipated after a long and dull period in the altcoin market.

Bitcoin Entry Opportunity? Waiting Game Is Suggested by Exchange Inflow Momentum

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  • Crypto analyst Ali Martinez states that Bitcoin exchange inflow volume momentum has become an important indicator of when to enter the market.
  • Inflow momentum in Bitcoin is falling, and buy signals are downtrending, which suggests that now is not a time for buying.
  • Ali Martinez advised investors to be patient and assess whether Bitcoin confirms stronger movement or not before making any major moves.

In a recent X post, popular crypto analyst Ali Martinez drew the attention of traders and investors to one important indicator in the current Bitcoin market. Martinez pointed out that the momentum in the inflow volume on Bitcoin (BTC) exchanges is currently suggesting patience rather than immediate action. 

This is a metric that is particularly useful for identifying key entry points, he said, and right now, it is no longer indicating that the time for a move is approaching.

Visual Indicators Support Wait-and-See Strategy

Glassnode, the well-known blockchain data analytics platform, revealed a lot with a chart that Martinez shared in his post. The chart tracks how much BTC is being deposited on exchanges over time. Large inflows to these exchanges indicate that investors are ready to sell, while relatively low inflows mean they are being more cautious and holding onto their assets.

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Source: X @ali_charts

Two very important moving averages (200-day and 365-day Simple Moving Average), shown in red and blue lines, are also included in the chart. If inflow volumes remain mostly below or above these averages, then the market is showing a trend upward or downward, respectively. 

At present, the inflow momentum is declining—a sign of cooling off after spikes in the past, said Martinez. He also suggests that traders should wait for stronger signals before reentering the market.

On the chart, we can find many upsides and downsides, which are marked with green and light red areas. According to Martinez, it is time for patience rather than immediate action. 

Patience in the Uncertain Bitcoin Market 

Ali Martinez believes timing is important when it comes to the BTC market, which he states is still full of opportunity. In uncertain times, he believes that the exchange inflow volume momentum could serve as a guide on when to make a buy move for BTC.

Although the excitement toward Bitcoin’s future is at an all-time high, he believes that seasoned investors will wait for the right time before making the next big move.

Bitcoin ETF: Key BTC Metrics Remained Mixed As Flows Turn Positive

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  • Investors’ confidence in Bitcoin ETFs appears to have returned as they deposited over $100 million on Thursday into the sector, following a brief dip midweek.
  • BlackRock and Fidelity were the major players with significant ETF inflows, and rising open interest is a sign of increased activity and speculation in the market.
  • Although there were positive inflows, a negative funding rate indicates the need for cautiousness as some traders are betting on a possible fall in Bitcoin’s price.

On Thursday, Bitcoin ETFs recorded a positive change after more than $100 million was invested. Wednesday saw a swing the other way, when $169.87 million was withdrawn from them, marking the only negative of the week. 

But since Monday, Bitcoin ETFs have had a net inflow of $15.85 million, and it seems like the market might be coming to a strong close. ETF investors are gradually displaying confidence this week, with the strong rebound in institutional investments. 

According to experts, their massive Bitcoin ETF purchase is also a reflection of renewed interest in a long-term view of Bitcoin, even though short-term technical indicators are mostly mixed.

Bitcoin ETF Inflows is Proof of Investor Confidence

Recent data shows that BlackRock’s Bitcoin ETF, IBIT, had the largest daily net inflow of $80.96 million on Thursday. This increased its net inflow to a substantial $39.75 billion. Fidelity also had its Bitcoin ETF, the FBTC, following closely behind with a net inflow of $25.90 million. 

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Source: SoSoVaue

Bitcoin price has surged by 0.1% within the last 24 hours to a current value of $84,497. This is also accompanied by a noticeable rise in its trading activity, as shown by an increase in its Open Interest. 

The BTC Futures Open interest is $54.6 billion as of the most recently available data, which is a 2.01 percent increase from the previous day. Any rise in BTC’s price coupled with its open interest means that more and more traders are entering this market. 

Key Metrics Remain Mixed As Bitcoin ETF Buyers Return

Interestingly, some other key metrics indicate that traders are not completely bullish on Bitcoin. The funding rate for Bitcoin futures has turned negative, meaning that traders are now paying those who bet on Bitcoin’s price to rise (long positions), since there is more demand for long positions. 

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Source: Coinglass

The funding rate at the time of writing is currently at -0.0006%, suggesting that there is a part of the market that is expecting a decline in Bitcoin’s price.

XRP Bullish Trend Price Expected to Hit 4.52 Dollars by April 2025

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  • XRP has seen a remarkable 8.45% increase in the last 24 hours.
  • Experts predict the Ripple currency could reach $2.12 to $4.52 by April 2025.
  • Investor sentiment has shifted positively following the U.S. tariff pause.

Ripple (XRP) is on a positive price trajectory and showing signs of further upward momentum. The overall market is in a bullish phase with Bitcoin’s recent surge and positive catalysts in the market. Currently, the cryptocurrency price is trading at $1.99, and its 24-hour volume is an incredible $7.61B. Its market capitalization is $116.6B.

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Source: CoinMarketcap

This dramatic increase of 10% in the last 24 hours underscores the rising interest and growing investor belief in the cryptocurrency, cementing its position in the larger crypto market.

XRP’s rally is occurring against the backdrop of overall crypto-market bullishness driven by recent gains in Bitcoin and improving fortunes in the overall global economy. With enhancing investor sentiments, XRP is becoming one of the best performers in the market.

XRP Price Boosted by Shift in Investor Sentiment

One of the major drivers of the recent increase in price is investor sentiment, and this is mainly due to the recent move in the U.S. government’s announcement for an extension of tariffs for 90 days.

image 86 10
Source: X

The halt is viewed as a positive development for cryptocurrencies, easing some doubt surrounding market performance in recent months. This news has fueled an optimistic sense among traders, reversing the overall mood from cautious to positive.

But while the tariff pause might give the market an initial boost in the short term, observers warn investors to keep an eye out. News about tariffs is still unresolved, and there’s a likelihood of “fear of missing out” (FOMO) for the market.

Since crypto markets have unpredictable price fluctuations, investors should exercise diplomacy in making investment decisions based only on short-term news.

XRP Expected to Reach $2.12 to $4.52

In the future, Changelly analysts believe there is a bright future for the XRP in the coming months. According to the price prediction from Changelly, in April 2025, the price of the cryptocurrency can be expected to be in the range of $2.12 to $4.52, at an average of $3.32. This can translate into a 148.4% potential ROI, which can reflect significant growth in XRP.

The projections suggest that the growth pattern of XRP is expected to continue, although investors should keep an eye on market conditions while the year unfolds.