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Ripple SEC Lawsuit

Ripple Finally Settles $50M With SEC as XRP Soars 8%; Is $3 the Next Milestone?

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  • Ripple and the SEC have finally ended their legal battle with a $50 million settlement.
  • Following the settlement news, XRP broke above the key $2.17 resistance level, and analysts predict the token could reach $3 if momentum continues.

The Ripple and the US SEC war is finally over after years of legal battles, as the two parties have finally reached a settlement. Both sides have agreed that Ripple will pay $50 million to end the case about XRP sales.

This news brings relief to the XRP community and everyone who has been waiting for a final outcome.On Thursday, the SEC shared that Ripple will pay $50 million to end the case, which involved Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse and Chairman Chris Larsen. Earlier in March, Ripple mentioned this settlement deal after saying that the agency was pulling back.

Earlier, the SEC, under Gary Gensler, had asked for a $2 billion penalty.Last year as well, Judge Analisa Torres ordered a $125 million fine, but with this new deal, which is lower than the rest, $50 million will go to the SEC, and Ripple will get back over $75 million from escrow.

This agreement would cause an end to one of the major legal battles in crypto history. Experts believe this outcome may open doors for more use of digital assets in regular banking.

XRP Price Breakout Amid Ripple Settlement 

Since the break of the news, XRP has made a strong move upward, going past the $2.17 resistance point. This move suggests that buyers are active again. If the price stays above this level, there’s a possibility that it could return to its earlier range.

Analysts also say that if Bitcoin continues to stay strong and support continues, XRP might even move toward $2.40 or beyond in the near future. Some believe its price could even go above $3 soon. The coin’s rise after the recent news, along with steady technical signals, has brought fresh hope among traders and investors.

More Reading: XRP Whales Hoard Over 880 Million Tokens in Previous Month

XRP Records Over 9% Gains for Investors in First Two Quarters

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  • XRP delivered over 9% combined gains for investors in Q1 and Q2 2025, despite broader market challenges.
  • Stronger adoption of Ripple technology and favorable legal developments boosted XRP’s momentum in the second quarter.
  • Analysts remain cautiously optimistic but highlight that regulatory shifts and crypto market volatility could still impact XRP’s future performance.

XRP, the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap on Coingecko, has generated positive returns for its investors in the last two quarters of this year. The current data from Cryptorank.io, revealed that in the first quarter of 2025, XRP investors gained 0.45%.

Then, the coin generated +8.79% profits for investors in the second quarter. Hence, the total returns so far for investors have surpassed 9%.

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Source: Cryptorank.io

XRP profits in Q1 and Q2

The altcoin recorded small gains of 0.45% in the first quarter of the year. Even though this gain is small, it is important to note that this period is usually a slow period for most digital assets due to various reasons.

Some of those reasons include broader economic conditions, tax seasons and market uncertainties. Hence, the Ripple-linked cryptocurrency displayed resilience to have maintained a positive return during this period, even if the return is small.

Meanwhile, XRP’s gains of 8.79% in the second quarter showed an increase in momentum. In addition, it indicates increasing optimism around this cryptocurrency.

Some of the factors that contributed to these gains were a rise in the adoption of Ripple’s technology and the legal clarity regarding Ripple’s current lawsuit with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Will this Coin Perform Better in Q3 And Q4?

The coin’s performance in Q1 and Q2 2025 has set a positive tone for the remaining quarters of the year. Should the Ripple-linked cryptocurrency continue to post better results in each remaining quarters of the year, long-time holders and investors would consider the year a highly profitable one.

Long-time holders would consider it a major achievement as it’s the first time in many years, the coin’s price hasn’t been influenced by the high-profile lawsuit between Ripple Labs and the U.S. Sec.

However, analysts warn that the XRP price could also be affected by cryptocurrencies’ naturally volatile nature. Hence, investors must continue to watch out for regulatory and market developments that could affect the crypto market, including XRP’s price direction.

Ripple (XRP) at a Crossroads: Hold 0.702 Fib or Risk a Sharp Drop to $1.25

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  • Ripple (XRP) is trading at $2.19 with a 5.7% weekly gain, but faces short-term bearish pressure below key resistance levels.
  • Failure to hold the 0.702 Fibonacci level could lead to a major retest around $1.25.
  • Optimism remains strong due to growing spot XRP ETF speculation and Ripple’s progress against the SEC.
  • A close above $2.45 could open the door for XRP to push toward $3 or higher by mid-2025.

Ripple (XRP), the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is at a critical juncture as technical analysis points to a potential short-term correction.

XRP is trading at $2.19, with a 24-hour trading volume of $3.2 billion, according to CoinMarketCap. The token has seen a 5.7% increase over the past week, reflecting strong momentum fueled by recent developments.

XRP 1D graph coinmarketcap 13
Ripple (XRP) at a Crossroads: Hold 0.702 Fib or Risk a Sharp Drop to $1.25 4

However, the broader crypto market is showing mixed signals, with Bitcoin (BTC) hovering around $94,000 after a slight 0.76% dip. Despite its recent gains, XRP remains 50% below its all-time high of $3.84, set in January 2018, leaving room for substantial upside if bullish catalysts materialize.

XRP Price Faces Short-Term Bearish Pressure

EGRAG CRYPTO’s analysis, highlights XRP’s current weakness as it trades below the upper edge of the Bull Market Support Band, a key momentum indicator using the 20-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) and 21-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

This band, often a reliable gauge of bullish or bearish trends, has its upper boundary at $2.33–$2.45. According to EGRAG, XRP must close above these levels to dispel bearish sentiment and confirm that a bottom is not yet in sight.

A pivotal element in the analysis is the 0.702 Fibonacci retracement level, which aligns with XRP’s historical breakout structure. Fibonacci levels are widely used in crypto trading to identify potential support and resistance zones, as seen in past market cycles like WAVES’ 65% drawdown in 2022.

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If XRP fails to hold this level, EGRAG warns of a “major retest,” potentially driving the price down to $1.25 in the near term, a 35% drop from its current level.

Despite the short-term bearish outlook, EGRAG remains optimistic about XRP’s long-term potential, forecasting double-digit prices in the coming months. This aligns with broader market sentiment, as XRP has already surged 210% year-to-date in 2025, driven by macroeconomic tailwinds and crypto-specific catalysts.

ETF Speculation and Ripple Legal Developments Fuel Optimism

XRP’s recent rally has been propelled by growing speculation around a spot XRP ETF. There is an 87% probability of a spot XRP ETF being approved by the end of 2025. This optimism is bolstered by Ripple’s legal progress against the SEC.

A recent report highlights delays in the SEC’s appeal decision, fueling speculation of a potential withdrawal. A favorable resolution could pave the way for ETF approvals, significantly boosting XRP’s adoption and price.

What’s Next for XRP in 2025?

The coming weeks will be crucial for XRP as it navigates key technical levels. A close above $2.45 could signal a bullish continuation, potentially pushing XRP toward $3 or higher by mid-2025, as predicted by some analysts like those at CoinCodex, who estimate XRP’s 50-day SMA to hit $2.36 by May 25, 2025. Conversely, a failure to hold the 0.702 Fibonacci level could see EGRAG’s $1.25 prediction come to fruition, offering a buying opportunity for long-term investors.

The broader crypto market will also play a role. If Bitcoin breaks above its all-time high of $109,312, as outlined, altcoins like Ripple could see a significant boost. However, macroeconomic headwinds, such as rising inflation or a hawkish Federal Reserve, could exert downward pressure across the board.

Ripple’s short-term outlook may be bearish, but its long-term fundamentals remain strong. With ETF speculation, legal clarity, and a resilient community backing it, XRP is well-positioned for potential growth in 2025.

Related Reading | Hashdex Debuts World’s First Spot XRP ETF on Brazil’s B3 Exchange