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DeFi TVL

HBAR Eyes 86% Surge: Falling Wedge Breakout in Sight

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Hedera Hashgraph’s native token HBAR is in the watch-list as traders patiently anticipate for the breakout. Technically, the token’s price has bottomed out and is completely in the falling wedge pattern on the daily timeframe.

A falling wedge pattern is a classic bullish breakout signal, as analysts eye an 85.8% surge by March 2025.

HBAR
HBAR Eyes 86% Surge: Falling Wedge Breakout in Sight 2

DSo far, the token’s journey has been a roller coaster ride. From surging nearly 850% between November to January to low of $0.04 before Trump’s victory, the token soared to a high of $0.37 after oath, making it among the top crypto asset gainers of 2025.

Other key Bullish Indicators: On the DeFi front, the token’s TVL has surged to $121.7 million (+132% growth on SaucerSwap) and conducted trades worth over $400K+ $132 million in weekly DEX volume.

HBAR ETF Filing: Unlocking $40M+ Institutional Demand

Secondly, growing spot HBAR ETF filing could unlock massive institutional demand. According to a recent federal document, Nasdaq has proposed listing Greyscale’s $HBAR ETF under Rule 5711(d) “Commodity-Based” treated HBAR as a mainstream commodity alongside other TradFi investments.

Together with the upcoming Hedera Coinbase futures, experts predict an influx of over $40 million inflows into the Hedera ecosystem, signaling fresh investments.

Apart from that, Hedera Hashgraph is the only blockchain project registered with the IMF and the only altcoin with a pending ETF that hasn’t been postponed. Additionally, HBAR is the only crypto asset with transactions consistently low and fair ordering with 3.5 consensus and carbon neutral. All these positioned the token in favourable light among retail and insitutional traders.

SEI Breakout Alert: Can It Smash the $0.375 Sell Wall?

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  • SEI’s “falling wedge” hints at an upside breakout, with a $0.375 sell wall as the first hurdle.
  • Market cap ATH with a lower price high creates a bearish divergence, signaling potential weakness.
  • Analysts caution about SEI’s inflation, as increasing supply could dilute token value.

Sei Network, Layer 1 blockchain, is gaining traction, evidenced by growing mindshare. Technically, its native token is formed a “falling wedge”, a bullish technical pattern that often comes before a price breakout to the upside. Market analyst expects a clear confirmation in a few days.

SEI
Source: CW

This indicates a retest of the lower trendline of the wedge or break through the upper trendline. In case the latter happens, this would signal a potential trend reversal and upward momentum. However, the analyst has identified a “sell wall” near $0.375, a key hurdle for the price surge. From here, there are no confirmed sell wall until until $0.9, which if broken could pave the way for a significant rally for the token.

The pattern will be confirmed in a few days, either by touching the lower line once more and moving, or by breaking the pattern and moving. And if it breaks the pattern, there is a sell wall near $0.375. No other sell walls are confirmed. If it breaks through the sell wall, there are no other sell walls until $0.9. The start of the bull market of $SEI is not far away.

SEI’s Technical Tug-of-War: Bullish Patterns vs. Inflation Concerns

Another notable development is SEI’s market cap, which recently reach a new peak despite the price hitting a lower high. This divergence between the market cap and the price often lean towards the bearish tone. This is because the influx of money flowing into the token is not reflecting into the price.

Analyts have therefore expressed caution perceiving SEI as inflationary token, whose increasing supply can dilute the value of existing coins.

Meawhile, SEI’s TVL has experienced a dramatic increase from $26.6 million to $353.5 million, representing a whopping 1300% growth. This growth is highlighted as being exceptional compared to other Layer-1 (L1) blockchains during the same period.

DeFi TVL Drops by $45 Billion, Ethereum Struggles to Maintain Momentum

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  • DeFi TVL fell from $138B to $92.6B, erasing all gains since Trump’s election.
  • Ethereum’s TVL dropped by $30.6B, struggling despite Bitcoin’s record surge.
  • Pectra upgrade aims to improve Ethereum’s efficiency but faces technical setbacks.

Total Value Locked (TVL) in decentralized finance (DeFi) experienced a major market decline, resulting in a $45 billion loss from its peak. The market trend now shows an opposite trajectory from the time after President Donald Trump won the U.S. election in November 2024.

The decline of DeFi TVL from $138 billion to $92.6 billion in March 2025 represents a dramatic market correction which Miles Deutscher and other analysts view as evidence of DeFi’s high volatility levels.

TVL Decline and Market Impact

The reduction in DeFi TVL has become so pronounced that it erased all gains achieved after Donald Trump won the presidential election. DeFi TVL experienced substantial growth after the election, reaching its peak at $138 billion on December 17, 2024, but soon dropped dramatically. The rapid increase in TVL was brief as the value has decreased by $45 billion. Market fluctuations throughout the crypto market have negatively impacted investor confidence and this decline in DeFi TVL follows the wider market pattern.

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Source; X

Ethereum, which comprises a large portion of the DeFi ecosystem, has also faced challenges. According to DefiLlama data, its TVL has dropped $30.6 billion from its cycle highs. Ethereum’s struggle is compounded by Ether (ETH) ‘s inability to surpass its 2021 all-time high of $4,787 despite various positive industry developments. The U.S. has already launched Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs), and President Trump issued an executive order to create a Bitcoin reserve.

The continuous drop in DeFi TVL forces analysts to doubt the sustainability of decentralized financial assets. The spike in DeFi TVL metrics in December 2024 no longer justifies investors’ long-term confidence in decentralized financial platforms. The market dip uncertainly affects DeFi’s path toward future development.

Ethereum Faces Unique Challenges Despite Industry Growth

Ethereum plays a pivotal role in the DeFi market, but its performance has been less than stellar in recent cycles. Despite positive industry news, the failure to reach new all-time highs indicates that Ethereum faces significant hurdles. The Ethereum network has made progress with updates like the rollup-centric roadmap, which aims to reduce gas fees and congestion. However, challenges like liquidity fragmentation remain a concern, which could hinder the long-term scalability of the network.

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Source; Defillama

The Pectra upgrade set to arrive for Ethereum seeks to fix current network problems by enhancing both layer-2 performance and inter-network connections. The upcoming network enhancement will lower fees while uniting liquidity pools to help secure its growth potential. The March 2025 Pectra testnet launch faced technical difficulties that created uncertainty about the future implementation success of its critical improvements. The developer team behind Ethereum continues to tackle existing problems but the outcome of their upgrade will determine Ethereum’s success in reclaiming DeFi market dominance.

Despite recent technical difficulties Ethereum’s ongoing transition to advanced account abstraction features gives it the potential to strengthen its position in the DeFi market. These innovations seek to enhance cross-network fund management processes while possibly appealing to developers and end-users. However the platform must resolve existing challenges for Ethereum to achieve these potential benefits.