Avalanche Price at Inflection Point: Will AVAX Reach $40 or Extend Bearish Trend?

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Avalanche is testing a key long-term support zone as momentum remains weak, leaving its short-term direction uncertain. While a breakdown could extend losses, rising on-chain activity and stronger network engagement suggest early signs of underlying strength if support levels hold.

Avalanche (AVAX) is testing a key long-term support zone with weak momentum, leaving trend direction for the Avalanche price uncertain. If support holds, recovery is possible, while a breakdown could extend losses. Meanwhile, on-chain activity is rising, showing stronger network usage and growing ecosystem engagement.

At the time of writing, AVAX is trading at $6.72 with a 24-hour trading volume of $234.9 million and a market capitalization of $2.9 billion. Following the 3.01% gain over the last 24 hours, the Avalanche price structure and network growth point to a bullish reversal ahead.

Avalanche current price

Source: CoinMarketCap

Also Read: Avalanche Price Prediction: Can AVAX Reclaim $7 After Sharp Rebound

Avalanche Price at Key Trendline: Is $30–$40 Rebound Next?

According to the crypto analyst Aman, the Avalanche price is sitting at a key technical inflection point as it retests a multi-year descending support trendline. 

Momentum remains weak, with RSI still showing limited buying pressure, suggesting the market has not yet confirmed a reversal. Traders are closely watching this zone for signs of direction for the Avalanche price.

Avalanche price prediction

Source: Aman’s X Post

Assuming that the support holds, a good bounce could develop in the case of the Avalanche price as it looks to move upwards towards the $30-$40 region in the wake of improved momentum and buying pressure. 

On the other hand, breaking below this important level could mean a continuation of the bearish trend for the Avalanche price in the coming period.

Avalanche Hits Record 144.98M Active Senders

The data from MSB Intel further highlighted that the Avalanche network has seen a notable surge in activity on its blockchain during Q2 2026 since active senders have reached a record high of 144.98 million active addresses, the most for any quarter in the entire history of Avalanche. It is a clear indication of increased users’ participation in the network.

Avalanche active senders

Source: MSB Intel’s X Post

The increase in the number of active senders is an indicator of sustained engagement as opposed to any isolated surges, implying that the usage of Avalanche-based applications such as DeFi, games, and NFTs is gaining traction. 

The number of active senders serves as an important indicator of network activity on Avalanche, thereby implying its increasing adoption and usage.

Following the network growth and changing conditions in the crypto market, the Avalanche price has responded well with a 3.01% surge. This upward move is largely affected by the BTC price, which has moved slightly upward in the recent sessions.

This article contains market analysis and price predictions. These are not guarantees. Crypto markets are volatile. Always DYOR. Not financial advice.

Also Read: AVAX Price Flashes Bullish Recovery Signals With $100 Target Back in Focus

Usman Zafar

Usman Zafar

Usman Zafar is a News Desk writer at Tronweekly with over five years of experience in cryptocurrency and blockchain journalism. He covers Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi, crypto laws and regulation, market activity, Layer 2 scaling solutions, and blockchain-based innovations, focusing on fast-moving developments and official industry updates. Usman previously wrote for BTCread and follows strict verification and editing practices to ensure accurate, timely, and responsible crypto news for a global audience.

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