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You are here: Home / Cryptocurrency News / Bitcoin Supply Shift Analysis Shows 78.3% BTC Held by Long-Term Wallets

Bitcoin Supply Shift Analysis Shows 78.3% BTC Held by Long-Term Wallets

What to know:

  • 78.3% Bitcoin supply in long-term hands, up from 74.1%, roughly 830,000 BTC shifted
  • BTC broke bearish OB 1 $78k–$80k, targets $90k but risk $68k–$60k
  • The chart shows resistance at $97k as a key for trend shift.

By Sajjal Ali | Edited By Ammar Raza,May 10, 2026, 12:24 PM

Bitcoin Supply

Bitcoin supply shift analysis shows a clear change in Bitcoin ownership patterns as long-term holders continue to dominate market supply.

According to the data provided, approximately 78.3% of all BTCs have been held in long-term wallet addresses compared to 74.1% in the previous cycle. The report on Bitcoin supply reveals that about 830,000 BTC have exited short-term trader pools.

Also Read: Chainlink Price Prediction: LINK Signals Recovery as $10 Zone Reclaims Momentum

Bitcoin Supply Shift Analysis Shows Long-Term Holding Surge

This phase of the analysis of the Bitcoin supply shift reveals a consistent decline in short-term trade confidence. The long-term wallets continue to absorb supply in relation to price movements, leading to reduced liquidity in the market.

This is typically reflected in a low selling pressure when prices drop, as less currency will be in circulation.

Source: X

Another way that this can be illustrated is through data that suggests this development is among the largest observed in recent times. Currently, the dynamics of Bitcoin supply shifts indicate a trend of hoarding rather than trading.

Short-Term Market Structure and Key Levels

In the near term, prices will move beyond the bearish price area of $78,000 to $80,000 that is now a support level. This support level remains crucial in maintaining momentum in favor of the bulls.

In case this support level is successful, prices will move upwards towards the $90,000 resistance level. The level of $82,000, which will be rejected, may force the price to reverse to around $68,000 if there is strong selling pressure.

Furthermore, in addition to analyzing the changing dynamics of the BTC supply distribution, one should highlight the fact that the liquidity zones become tighter; hence, more volatility at the crucial levels may be expected. If the price cannot remain above $78,000, the current bullish scenario will not hold true.

BTC Short-Term Market Structure and Key Levels

Source: X

Higher Timeframe Signals Mixed Momentum

In the higher time frames, the BTC price trend continues to be corrective after reaching an all-time high at $120,000. Lower highs and lower lows have been seen despite some intermittent rallies.

In the supply shift model, the price is also found to be below the resistance level at $97,000, thus indicating unclear momentum in the long term.

Two significant supply areas between $79,000 and $94,000 continue to provide resistance for the price action. A rally channel has been established from the liquidity zone at $59,000.

This article contains market analysis and price predictions. These are not guarantees. Crypto markets are volatile. Always DYOR. Not financial advice.

Also Read: Ethereum Institutional Accumulation Surge Accelerates with $16B in Corporate Holdings

Filed Under: Cryptocurrency News

About Sajjal Ali

Sajjal Ali is a Market Analyst and Crypto Reporter at Tronweekly with over three years of experience covering cryptocurrency markets and digital asset ecosystems. Her work focuses on Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins, DeFi, blockchain developments, crypto regulation and policy, and Layer 2 scaling solutions.

She tracks major DeFi platforms, leading Layer 2 networks, and evolving regulatory frameworks, explaining how policy, technology, and adoption trends influence crypto markets. Her previous work has been featured on BTCRead. Sajjal verifies information through official filings, regulator statements, court records, and on-chain data, ensuring accurate, responsible reporting for a global audience.

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