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You are here: Home / News / Bitcoin’s Next Halving Beckons: Will History Repeat Itself?
Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s Next Halving Beckons: Will History Repeat Itself?

October 11, 2023 by Mohammad Ali

In a recent Twitter post, Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher draws intriguing parallels between Bitcoin’s current price movement and its historical behavior preceding halving events. The cryptocurrency market’s fascination with Bitcoin’s price trends in the run-up to halvings is in the spotlight.

Deutscher astutely observes that BTC typically experiences a phase of sideways price action from the second quarter to the fourth quarter of pre-halving years. This period of subdued trading often becomes the calm before the storm, with bullish surges becoming evident around November 21st.

#Bitcoin's recent price action is still mirroring the last 2 cycles.

This is typical sideways price action that occurs from Q2-Q4 in pre-halving years.

November 21st has historically been the key pivot point for a bullish shift. Will be interesting to see how $BTC responds. pic.twitter.com/zP9vlG31Qc

— Miles Deutscher (@milesdeutscher) October 10, 2023

The next Bitcoin halving is eagerly anticipated to occur early in 2024, a momentous event that slashes the reward granted to miners by a substantial 50%. Historically, such halvings have acted as catalysts for monumental bull runs, generating substantial excitement among cryptocurrency enthusiasts.

Bitcoin’s Diminishing Dominance Sparks Concern

However, Crypto Capital Venture founder Dan Gambardello introduces a note of caution. He highlights a concerning macro indicator: BTC diminishing dominance. Currently hovering around 51%, BTC’s market dominance has dipped significantly from the 70% it held during the same period in the previous cycle.

Bitcoin dominance is around 51% and is losing its strength.

This time last cycle, it was around 70%

Bitcoin dominance is getting weak on the macro pic.twitter.com/LDOvzr1Fex

— Dan Gambardello (@cryptorecruitr) October 10, 2023

Nonetheless, experts argue that the ongoing consolidation aligns perfectly with BTC’s historical behavior before the onset of its supply-shocking halving events. This observation suggests that the world’s premier cryptocurrency is on track, adhering to the roadmap of previous cycles.

The Bitcoin halving is a recurrent event, transpiring approximately every four years. During this pivotal occurrence, miners see their rewards for processing BTC transactions slashed in half, decelerating the creation of new BTC and ultimately impacting the overall supply.

This crucial event plays a pivotal role in shaping BTC scarcity and its resistance to inflation. The last scheduled halving is anticipated to unfold in 2140, culminating in the total number of Bitcoins in circulation reaching its predefined limit of 21 million.

As the next halving event approaches, Bitcoin’s price action continues to mirror patterns witnessed in the past. This offers a glimmer of hope to those anticipating historic price surges. However, the declining dominance of BTC serves as a stark reminder of the potential risks if mainstream demand fails to materialize in the manner many expect. Excitement abounds in cryptocurrency as the countdown to Bitcoin’s next halving event ticks away.

Related Reading:  |Crypto Recap: Bitcoin & Ethereum Battle Support Bearish Week Hits Altcoins Hard

Filed Under: News Tagged With: Bitcoin (BTC), Bitcoin halving, Crypto, price prediction

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