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You are here: Home / Cryptocurrency News / Avalanche (AVAX) / Avalanche (AVAX) Price Analysis: Can It Hold Above $30 and Aim Higher?

Avalanche (AVAX) Price Analysis: Can It Hold Above $30 and Aim Higher?

By Amrin Sanjay | Edited By Ammar Raza,October 4, 2025, 8:00 AM

Avalanche
  • The RCI indicator shows early bullish momentum for AVAX.
  • Volume candles signal that recent consolidation is happening on low volume for the altcoin.
  • AVAX saw a surge in DEX volume, TVL, and active addresses, signaling growing network strength heading into Q4.
  • Changelly expects the altcoin’s price to fluctuate between $30 and $32.37 in October 2025.

Avalanche (AVAX) is testing the significant $30 support level as traders watch if the altcoin can maintain its pace and push toward higher targets. Market sentiment and technical indicators will play a key role in shaping its next move.

Avalanche (AVAX), the native token of the Avalanche blockchain, currently holds a market cap of around $12.83 billion, ranking it among the leading altcoins. With a 24-hour trading volume of nearly $1.14 million, AVAX’s price movements continue to draw attention as traders watch for signals amid persistent volatility in the cryptocurrency market.

Avalanche
Source: CoinMarketCap

At press time, the altcoin is trading at $30.39, having increased by 0.13% over the last 24 hours. The price is moving in a bullish trend and is currently testing a resistance level near $30.97. If it breaks above this, the next target could be $32.00. On the downside, the support level is around $29.97. If the altcoin falls below this level, we might see a drop towards $26.00.

Source: TradingView

The blue line indicates the resistance level at $30.97, while the yellow line represents the support level at $29.97.

Also Read: Is Avalanche (AVAX) on the Path to Break Past $146 ATH in the Next Bull Run?

Avalanche’s (AVAX) Price Momentum and Volume Dynamics Signal Cautious Recovery

According to the Rank Correlation Index (RCI), AVAX’s RCI shows early bullish momentum recovery after a recent dip. RCI turning upward above zero suggests that bullish momentum is slowly returning after a short dip.

Currently at 32.12, the altcoin is in a neutral-to-bullish zone, indicating it still has a chance to move higher before facing overbought pressure.

Source: TradingView

Based on the Volume Candles, AVAX experienced strong buying volume, pushing the altcoin to $36 and heavy selling volume dragged it down to $28.

The big green volume candles appeared around the altcoins’ breakout to $36, and the large red volume candles formed as the price declined from $36 to $28, indicating strong buying pressure and high selling pressure, respectively.

If another big green candle shows up, it will confirm if AVAX is ready to reclaim the $34 to $36 price range.

Avalanche’s Strong September Metrics

According to a recent X post by Avalanche, the altcoins’ September on-chain statistics showcase strong ecosystem growth, and this may offer a favorable environment for AVAX’s price performance.

September metrics showed Avalanche's strength.

DEX Volume +45.2% to $17.43b
TVL +15.4% to $2.17b
Avg Daily Active Addresses +98.2% to 16.8m

Q4 looking good here🔺

— Avalanche🔺 (@avax) October 2, 2025

In the view of the team, the volume on DEX exploded 45.2% higher to $17.43 billion, and TVL grew 15.4% to $2.17 billion. Even better was the almost 98.2% increase in average daily active addresses to 16.8 million, pointing to increased user activity and network adoption. On the strength of these strong foundations, the altcoin heads into Q4 well-positioned, perhaps to reinforce bullish sentiment towards AVAX.

Changelly’s AVAX Forecast

According to Changelly’s crypto analysts, the AVAX price might fluctuate between $30 and $32.37 in October 2025.

Source: Changelly

According to the technical analysis of prices expected in 2025, the minimum cost will be $26.41. The maximum level that the AVAX price can reach is $29.39. The average trading price is expected to be around $32.37.

In Conclusion

Avalanche (AVAX) demonstrates early indicators of bullish pressure, as the RCI suggests possible upwards movement. Low-volume consolidation in the recent past indicates stabilization in the market, but increases in DEX activity, TVL, and active addresses point towards increasing network strength.

If AVAX can maintain support above the $30 level, it has the potential to aim higher, but traders should watch for shifts in volume and momentum to confirm sustained growth.

Also Read: Avalanche (AVAX) Surges 5%: Is This the Start of a Strong October Rally?

Filed Under: Avalanche (AVAX), Altcoin News, Cryptocurrency News

About Amrin Sanjay

Amrin Sanjay is an Industry Reporter at Tron Weekly, covering developments across the cryptocurrency and blockchain sector. Her reporting focuses on Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins, and decentralized finance, alongside market activity, protocol updates, and ecosystem trends. She closely tracks Layer 1 and Layer 2 projects, DeFi tokens, and key technical indicators to explain market movements and on-chain activity with clarity and accuracy for both new and experienced readers.

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