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You are here: Home / Cryptocurrency News / Bitcoin (BTC) Struggles at Key Levels: Is a Breakout Possible?

Bitcoin (BTC) Struggles at Key Levels: Is a Breakout Possible?

By Arslan Tabish | Edited By Ammar Raza,March 2, 2025, 4:30 AM

Bitcoin Price Analysis
  • Bitcoin faces strong selling pressure as Coinbase Premium turns negative, signaling increased spot market sell-offs.
  • Analysts suggest Bitcoin needs a positive Coinbase Premium to regain strength and trigger renewed buying demand.
  • Historical data shows Bitcoin’s 15-20% drawdowns often create prime accumulation zones during bull markets.

Bitcoin has faced selling pressure in the last few days, thus shifting to a weaker position in the market. In the latest X post, Daan Crypto Trades pointed out that the Coinbase Premium of BTC has gone to the negative territory, signaling intense spot market sell pressure. This correlates with the trend in the outflows of the ETF and bearish prices that have forced the scenario where Bitcoin cannot hold on to stability.  

$BTC's Coinbase Premium as gone into the negative recently. This shows there's been a lot of spot selling the past few days, which has been clear looking at the large ETF outflows and bearish price action.

For BTC to bounce back strong, you'd want the Coinbase Premium to return… pic.twitter.com/GRq3gvnGLu

— Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) March 1, 2025

Bitcoin Potential Price Recovery

The Coinbase Premium currently measures the premium that Bitcoin has on Coinbase relative to other exchanges. When positive, it signifies the intent of buyers to buy mostly from the United States investor due to confidence in the market. Nevertheless, a negative premium represents strong selling pressure in the spot market and forces the prices down. This situation has only heightened the concerns of the traders, bearing in mind that the Bitcoin was already in the process of a downward spiral.  

Analysts have suggested that for the BTC to make a sharp to the upside, the Coinbase Premium should turn positive again. Any signs of positive territory again would suggest that there is increasing demand and increasing buying. The premium retreats to the down bend after the price tried to move upwards in the last move. Whether this will be the case now that this shift has occurred or if selling pressure will persist remains unknown.  

Key Accumulation Patterns

The analytical platform CryptoQuant pointed out that BTC has also demonstrated a historical accumulation formation. In a recent X post, the platform pointed out that every time the price dips to the range of 15-20% BTC is in Shopping Area 1 or 2. In the past, these zones have always been good buying grounds during phases of a bull market. 

Simple Bitcoin Buying Strategy

“When BTC enters Shopping Area 1 or 2 (15-20% price drawdown), it has historically been a great time to accumulate in the bull market phase.” – By @IT_Tech_PL

Further information 👇https://t.co/agJrfpQBgr pic.twitter.com/oMzzRO4qZI

— CryptoQuant.com (@cryptoquant_com) March 1, 2025

This accumulation strategy is based on two criteria. First, these zones expressed rather high and distinct buy signal points in the past. Secondly, price reduction usually leads to over-reaction by investors and end up giving long-term investors opportunities to invest at a lower price than they usually would have paid for. As of writing, BTC is trading at $84,511 which is a 3.11% increase within the last day.

Source: TradingView

Bitcoin has capabilities akin to a battleground due to the anticipation of development regarding a buying side. This implies that the market remains under pressure with more ETFs being redeemed as well as spot sales, thus exerting further pressure on the prices. If there is persistency of these values at historically sensitive points, a reversal may be within the realm of possibility. However, the subsequent decline in demand should be supported by an upward trend in the market to ensure stable growth in the short-term.

Filed Under: Cryptocurrency News, Bitcoin (BTC)

About Arslan Tabish

Arslan Tabish is a Technical Reporter and Market Analyst at Tron Weekly with over five years of experience covering cryptocurrency markets and blockchain developments. His reporting focuses on Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins, and decentralized finance, alongside NFTs, crypto regulation, policy, and Web3 innovations.
Arslan covers blockchain technology, Layer 2 scaling solutions, and emerging use cases, including AI-driven crypto applications, while delivering clear market analysis on how technical and regulatory developments impact digital asset markets. His work is designed for both beginners and experienced readers, offering accurate, easy-to-understand reporting without speculation or investment guidance.

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