Spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded steady inflows on March 24, highlighting accelerating institutional demand across global markets. Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas reported more than $2.5 billion in inflows this month, bringing funds close to reversing year-to-date outflows.
At the same time, on-chain data shows BTC supply tightening across exchanges, increasing the likelihood of a supply shock.
Bitcoin ETF Demand Continues to Grow
According to Balchunas, IBIT is in the top 2% of all ETFs in terms of inflows. He also noted that investors have displayed a high degree of confidence in the funds as they recover from previous outflows.
Market analyst Shaun Edmondson reported that continued strong inflow trends existed in recent filings. He also reported that Strategy had filed to purchase $42 billion worth of BTC.
At its current market price, Strategy would own approximately 590,000 BTCs. Edmondson also stated that less than one million BTC will be left to mine.
Meanwhile, weekly ETF flow data shows that institutional demand for BTC ETFs continues to grow. SoSoValue data indicates that spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded $167.23 Million in net inflows last week.
In addition, total net inflows for the two prior weeks for this month totaled $767 million and $568 million, respectively. These continuous net inflows to spot Bitcoin ETFs reflect continued interest in the crypto asset and gaining exposure to it through these funds.
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Supply Shock Narrative Continues to Build
Responding to Shaun Edmondson’s post, Lizzie Liz pointed to the tightening of Bitcoin supply. She estimated that approximately 4 million Bitcoins are forever lost.
She also referenced that Satoshi Nakamoto’s holdings have remained untouched since 2010. She estimates that the true circulating supply of BTC is between 15 and 16 million.
She also indicated that institutional investors now possess approximately 2.4 million BTC. She further stated that institutional demand for the coin is outpacing daily production by miners.
Currently, Bitcoin miners produce around 450 BTCs per day. This provides additional evidence supporting the supply squeeze narrative of the coin.
Decline in Exchange Reserves Indicates Decreasing Supply
Data from on-chain sources support the decline of available BTC reserves on crypto exchanges. CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha reported that reserve balances on major exchanges decreased by 77,000 BTC from February 24 to March 14.
Reserve balances on Bitfinex decreased by 33,000 Bitcoins. Binance reserve balances dropped by 30,000 BTC.
Gemini reserve balances reduced by 14,000 BTC. This pattern of declining reserve balances on exchanges is consistent with other instances where supply shrank before a significant price appreciation.
A comparable supply contraction occurred before the BTC price appreciated from $84,000 to $118,000 in 2025. The decrease in exchange reserve balances significantly reduces the level of sell pressure on the market.
BTC Price Holds Support Zones
Bitcoin is currently trading near $69,400, having decreased by approximately 2% over the last 24 hours. The Bitcoin price couldn’t break above the $71,000 level, which acted as the next critical resistance.
The $69,000 area is now acting as short-term support. MACD is showing decreasing bullish momentum after a recent crossover. Trading volumes remain high at approximately $37 billion according to TradingView data.
This article contains market analysis and price predictions. These are not guarantees. Crypto markets are volatile. Always DYOR. Not financial advice.
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