The price of Bitcoin (BTC) initially surged to $28,184 after Grayscale’s legal victory against the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). However, this euphoria was short-lived as Bitcoin quickly lost all its gains when the SEC postponed its decision on seven spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) applications.
As a result, BTC experienced a significant drop, reaching lows of $25,307 on September 1st. Despite this setback, there has been a slight recovery, with BTC currently valued at $25,816 at press time. Nevertheless, the leading cryptocurrency remains down by approximately 1% daily.
In September, Bitcoin’s price movement raised concerns about the future of this cryptocurrency, given its historical bearish nature during this month. For the past six years, Bitcoin has consistently experienced negative returns in September.
According to crypto analyst Ali’s on-chain data analysis, there is a potential risk for Bitcoin to drop to around $23,340 due to weak support below the $25,400 level. Conversely, IntoTheBlock suggests that BTC’s next significant milestone could be reaching $30,000 since 6.2 million addresses have acquired over 2.6 million BTC towards this target.
Whale Stablecoin Supply Might Determine Bitcoin’s Next Move
The on-chain analytical firm Santiment suggests that a significant factor that could impact the future development of Bitcoin is the number of stablecoins held by whales. Santiment suggests that these whales appear undecided in their accumulation of stablecoins at the moment.
One reliable method for predicting the direction of the cryptocurrency market involves analyzing the holdings of these large wallets and observing their ratio of stablecoins. An increase in their purchasing power would indicate a potential surge. According to on-chain data, whale activity may have influenced previous surges in BTC value.
Notably, addresses holding 0.1% or more of BTC total supply have acquired over $1.5 billion worth of BTC within the last two weeks, as reported by IntoTheBlock data. Despite these observations, Bitcoin continues to exhibit oscillatory behavior within a wide range spanning from $24,800 to $31,000.
However, if a sustained break below $25,400 occurs, as previously mentioned, it might prompt BTC to target the $23,340 level. Conversely, surpassing the daily moving averages at $27,640 and $28,423 (representing 50 and 200-day moving averages respectively) could reinforce an upward climb towards $30,000.
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