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Peter Brandt Forecasts Bitcoin Peak Between $125K–$150K in Late 2025

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  • Bitcoin surged past $97,000 on May 1, nearing $100K and sparking bullish excitement.
  • Peter Brandt projects a cycle top between $125K–$150K by Q3 2025, citing chart patterns.
  • CryptoQuant’s Adler sees $150K–$175K possible if the momentum ratio exceeds 1.0 and holds steady.

Bitcoin kicked off May with impressive strength, momentarily climbing above $97,000 on the very first day of the month. This rally pushed it closer to the $100,000 mark, reigniting excitement among traders and investors.

Amid growing optimism, veteran market analyst Peter Brandt shared a notable forecast in an X post, suggesting that Bitcoin could peak between $125,000 and $150,000 by August or September 2025. His projection targets a peak in the third quarter, falling within a familiar market cycle window.

Brandt emphasized that Bitcoin must regain its previous parabolic trajectory to reach this bullish target. He shared a detailed weekly chart analysis showing its long-term price history and structural patterns, suggesting a steady rise remains possible.

Bitcoin Positioned for Next Surge

The chart highlighted Bitcoin’s progress within a bullish wedge and a multi-year ascending channel. Brandt noted that maintaining this upward path could extend the bull run. His analysis also stressed that the parabolic curve, last seen guiding Bitcoin’s peak in 2021, remains a crucial element for renewed growth.

If it successfully reclaims this trendline, Brandt expects it could drive prices into a “red zone” he marked between $125K and $150K. He views this zone as a likely conclusion to the current bull cycle. At the time of his forecast, the cryptocurrency was priced around $96,397, meaning a climb to $150,000 would represent a gain of about 55%.

Bitcoin 2
Source: Peter Brandt

Brandt’s chart did not rely on a single signal. It also revealed classic formations, including Head & Shoulders, Channels, and Expanding Triangles. These patterns have historically preceded significant moves in both directions, underscoring the potential for further volatility ahead.

Analyst Warns of Steep Fall After the Peak

Interestingly, Brandt’s forecast aligns closely with historical Bitcoin cycles, which typically peak 12 to 18 months after a halving. With the last halving event in April 2024, his August–September 2025 prediction fits this timeframe neatly.

However, he warned that the excitement would not last forever. According to Brandt, once Bitcoin hits its cycle top, the market could face a sharp decline. He anticipates a correction exceeding 50%, which could push it down to between $60,000 and $75,000, a pattern seen in previous cycles.

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler Jr. observed that Bitcoin’s on-chain momentum has entered the rally zone, as the momentum ratio approaches 0.8. He pointed to past trends in 2017 and 2021 to suggest it could climb to $150,000–$175,000 if that ratio rises above 1.0 and holds firm.

Bitcoin 4
Source: CryptoQuant

Adler’s base case projects Bitcoin to remain in the $90,000 to $110,000 range if the ratio holds between 0.8 and 1.0. A drop to 0.75, though, might push short-term holders to cash out, dragging the price down to $70,000–$85,000. Adler emphasized that with a recent pullback already absorbed, the optimistic and base case options appear more likely at present.

Read More | Ethereum Whale Moves $5.53M to Kraken After Three-Year Dormancy

Bitcoin’s Bullish Breakout: Will BTC Reach $161,132 in 2025?

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  • Bitcoin’s breakout pattern suggests substantial gains, potentially driving BTC toward six-figure territory soon.
  • Sustaining weekly closes above the descending channel may lead Bitcoin into a strong bullish phase.
  • A successful breakout could propel Bitcoin toward price targets of $118,476, $136,753, and $161,132.

Rose Premium Signals indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) may experience substantial gains based on the current market setup. Market signals demonstrate that price movements match the pattern of a successful breakout that had previously generated substantial price increases. The successful breakout may propel Bitcoin towards reaching six figures during the upcoming period.

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Source: X

The formation of this bullish trend needs essential confirmation to advance forward. The consensus from analysts stipulates BTC needs to establish weekly closes above its descending channel for this downtrend to evolve. The bullish trend will continue if the cryptocurrency maintains weekly close positions above its channel. The achievement of this confirmation may trigger BTC’s beginning of a fresh, extended upward movement, which hints at an upcoming powerful price increase.

Bitcoin’s Next Growth Phase

Bitcoin remains at approximately $96,677 during the current market period. A critical level of resistance exists at $97,190 because breaking through this barrier will enable BTC to activate additional price appreciation. BTC can initiate its next growth phase when it maintains positions above this price point and closes successfully beyond the channel boundaries. Market participants actively track this price movement since the coming days will likely decide if BTC starts a substantial upward movement.

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Source: TradingView

Bitcoin demonstrated in the past how it exhibits similar technical patterns that create substantial price growth. The cryptocurrency generates substantial upward price momentum whenever it successfully closes above a descending channel during past price movements. Even though traders recognize potential breakout opportunities, it still requires verifying evidence to validate. BTC breakout force will directly influence the cryptocurrency’s price level during the upcoming months.

Key Levels for BTC Surge

The extended upward movement of the BTC price appears highly probable following a successful breakout. The Bitcoin price journey will follow paths that analysts have identified as three essential targets. The price targets for BTC begin at an initial $118,476 and then advance to $136,753 on their way to potentially reaching $161,132. Such price levels indicate substantial potential growth, which would enable BTC to enter an enhanced bullish trend after sustaining its breakout.

BTC observers need to monitor markets closely since the upcoming weekly market close demands their full attention. A successful breakout would solidify an optimistic market trend that would allow prices to rise even higher. The confirmation of an upcoming breakout might start a new growth phase that could enable BTC to reach six figures in value.

Read More: Is Bitcoin Ready to Break $100K? Short-Term Holders Signal Major Rally

Bitcoin Surges Near $97K, Eyes Major Resistance Levels Ahead of $100K

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  • Bitcoin skyrocketed to levels of $97,000, validating bullishness and breaking resistance at $95,000.
  • Analysts target Bitcoin’s next resistance levels at $97,325, $98,745, and $100,000.
  • A bullish breakout theme foresees a rally to $150K–$175K, similar to previous cycles.

Bitcoin has surged to a new high of $97,000, signaling strong market confidence. It recently breached the $95,000 level, confirming bullish strength on both daily and weekly charts. Although minor pullbacks are anticipated, Analysts are now eyeing the next major resistance levels as Bitcoin’s rally drives broader optimism across the crypto market. 

In Q2 2025, BTC has shown notable resilience, having cleared its 200-day moving average. Strong support is forming beneath, reinforcing confidence in further upward price movement during this market cycle.

Traders and experts are carefully monitoring support levels at $95,797 and $96,441. Market analyst Ali Martinez mentioned Bitcoin might test the support at $95,700 before moving upward. These levels are part of a larger bullish pattern that highlights Bitcoin’s consistent move towards record highs in the coming weeks.

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Bitcoin’s Short-Term Targets and $100K Milestone In Sight

If purchasing pressure persists, Bitcoin’s upcoming short-term resistance levels are $97,325 and $98,745, followed by the psychological mark of $100,000. These are derived from near-term price movements and are critical milestones that are on traders’ radars in this period of sustained upward momentum in the market.

In the future, the overall pattern seems to be positive, with bulls aiming towards the $115,000-$120,000 area towards later this year. This positive prospect is dependent on BTC maintaining its present support. Currently, BTC is trading at a value of about $96,726, having posted a 1.44% increase in value in the last week, supporting continuous bullish momentum.

Analysts are increasingly focused on identifying whether the current momentum will be sustained. Among these analysts is CryptoQuant contributor Axel Adler Jr., who offered a deeper look at Bitcoin’s on-chain strength indicators.

Breakout Scenario Targets $150K–$175K Range

Adler highlighted Bitcoin’s entry into the “start” rally zone, with a momentum ratio near 0.8. This figure is seen as a critical threshold that could determine whether BTC pushes higher or consolidates. His analysis draws comparisons with previous bullish cycles, suggesting a pivotal phase lies ahead.

In his latest QuickTake update, Adler outlined three scenarios. The most optimistic scenario foresees a momentum ratio of more than 1.0 to trigger a rally towards the $150,000 to $175,000 area—comparable to breakouts in 2017 and 2021. A breakout in this area has the potential to be a historic price discovery.

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The base case predicts the ratio stabilizing between 0.8 and 1.0, keeping BTC range-bound between $90,000 and $110,000. This scenario implies cautious optimism, with traders holding steady positions. The pessimistic case sees the ratio dipping toward 0.75, signaling profit-taking and a potential drop to $70,000–$85,000. However, current data favors a bullish outcome.

Read More: Bitcoin’s Rebound From $93K: $96.5K the Next Target

$MSTR Skyrockets 3000%+ After Embracing Bitcoin Standard, Says Saylor

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  • MicroStrategy’s stock ($MSTR) surged 3,142% since adopting Bitcoin as its treasury reserve.
  • The firm plans to raise $800M more via debt offerings to buy additional Bitcoin, reinforcing its “Bitcoin Standard” strategy.
  • Bitcoin price breaks $96,500 amid 8% volume surge, signaling bullish momentum as institutional interest grows.

Strategy’s (formerly MicroStrategy) decision to pivot to Bitcoin (BTC) has generated huge returns for its investors. Its shares have increased by 3,142% since 2020 when the firm first adopted its BTC-focused treasury strategy.

The firm’s stock performance has surpassed that of major tech firms and traditional assets as revealed by executive chairman, Michael Saylor in a recent tweet. The company’s fortunes have witnessed significant changes after it decided to hold BTC as its primary reserve asset, a move that’s now known as the “Bitcoin standard.”

A comparison with other investments over the same period is proof that this decision has been a massive success. Strategy‘s stock performance is nearly four times the 715% returns delivered by BTC itself.

The company also performed better than top tech stocks, such as Tesla and Nvidia which posted gains of 205% and 916%, respectively. In addition, $MSTR’s performance was far better than traditional assets, like the S&P 500 and gold, which recorded modest gains of 68% and 21%, respectively.

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Source: X (@saylor)

Strategy’s approach involved continuous accumulation of the leading cryptocurrency. It now holds more than 214,000 BTC, which is worth nearly $15 billion.

Strategy to Raise Fresh $800M for More BTC Acquisitions

The company funded its cryptocurrency purchases using various financing methods, like convertible note offerings. With these finance strategies, Strategy essentially became a publicly-traded BTC proxy, which allowed traditional investors to gain indirect exposure to cryptocurrency through the stock market.

Based on its Bitcoin exposure, Strategy’s valuation now depends on the value of its BTC holdings and not on traditional business metrics. Still, the company has stated that it plans to keep buying more BTC.

Recently, it announced plans to raise another $800 million using debt offerings to make more Bitcoin purchases. Saylor remains a strong Bitcoin advocate and has consistently argued that the leading cryptocurrency will eventually replace gold and become the preferred store of value across the world.

Rising Trade Volume: Bitcoin Price Jumps Past $96,500

Meanwhile, BTC has achieved a significant milestone, it has broken above the $96,500 level and trades at $96,571 at the time of writing, according to CoinMarketCap data. The price gain (which is 2% in the last 24 hours) coincides with a significant rise in trading volume.

This trading volume is up nearly 8% in the last 24 hours and it’s currently $31.12 billion.

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Source: CoinMarketCap

Metaplanet’s Secret Weapon? A Florida Subsidiary and $250M Bitcoin Goal

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  • Metaplanet will establish a wholly owned subsidiary in Miami, Florida, this month.
  • The company plans to raise $250 million to expand its bitcoin treasury strategy.
  • Metaplanet Treasury Corp. will launch with $10 million in initial capital.

Japanese investment firm Metaplanet will establish a wholly owned U.S. subsidiary in Miami, Florida, this month. The move is part of its strategy to strengthen global operations and accelerate bitcoin acquisition. The company plans to raise $250 million to scale its bitcoin treasury program through the new unit.

Metaplanet Expands Bitcoin Reach in Florida

On the other hand, Metaplanet Treasury Corp. will become operational in Florida as the subsidiary of Metaplanet with $10 million in capital. The new subsidiary works to improve treasury operations to allow direct U.S. institutional capital market access. The new entity supports faster transaction execution and better time zone liquidity management.

The company selected Florida because it is a leading center of bitcoin innovation and has an advantageous business environment. Metaplanet chose to establish operations in Miami because of its rising position in the digital asset market space. The modified entity will work with the company’s British Virgin Islands-based offshore unit.

U.S. UAS Development LLC obtains leadership from its principal force within the company, Simon Gerovich and Dylan LeClair, serving as CEO and Bitcoin strategy head, respectively. The leadership team at this firm will work toward developing more bitcoin acquisition routes and enhancing its treasury operations functions. The firm declared its position regarding the new unit through its latest announcement, stating its minimal contribution to the 2025 financial results.

Bitcoin Growth Lifts Metaplanet Stock Price

Last week, Metaplanet bought 145 BTC worth $14 million, enabling the company to become a holder of more than 5,000 BTC. The company has achieved 50 percent of its future target of possessing 10,000 BTC. The company remains dedicated to regular bitcoin purchases under its established bitcoin adoption roadmap, which it announced in April 2024.

The continuous growth of bitcoin ownership positions Metaplanet as one of the significant business entities holding cryptocurrency assets. The company plans to accumulate 21,000 BTC by 2026. Metaplanet has not disclosed the specific dates for future purchases.

The announcement of U.S. expansion caused Tokyo exchange stock prices to rise 2.6% and settle at 394 yen during market hours. Throughout the last 12 months, the stock price has surged by more than 1260%. Shared information about their bitcoin strategy and growth plan resulted in positive market participant reactions.

Corporate Bitcoin Accumulation Sees Broader Momentum

Various companies are presently engaging in vigorous Bitcoin acquisitions with their balance sheets. Semler Scientific purchased 165 bitcoins at $15.7 million, thus increasing its total bitcoin holdings to 3,467 bitcoins. The company filed to obtain $500 million to support possible investments related to bitcoin.

Late this week, Strategy revealed its latest Bitcoin acquisition, which included 15,355 BTC purchased for $1.4 billion. The company maintains ownership of 553,555 BTC, which represents 2.6% of the entire bitcoin supply. Bitcoin has not met a corporate owner as big as Strategy, which maintains the status as the world’s largest Bitcoin holder.

Is Bitcoin Ready to Break $100K? Short-Term Holders Signal Major Rally

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  • Bitcoin’s rise in short-term holder activity signals potential price growth, with $100K as the next major target.
  • Historical patterns show that increased short-term holder activity often precedes significant Bitcoin price surges.
  • Bitcoin’s current price range suggests a possible breakout; surpassing resistance could trigger a move toward $100K.

Bitcoin is expected to experience strong price growth in the near future, according to CryptoQuant’s recent analysis, which reveals patterns similar to those observed in early 2024. The platform shows a dramatic increase in short-term holder operations, which indicates that market prices could jump. The rise in short-term holder behavior in Bitcoin’s markets typically precedes substantial price changes, which indicates Bitcoin could surpass the $100,000 level to begin an upcoming bull market.

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Source: X

Bitcoin entered temporary price boosts during both January and October 2024 after its short-term holder base expanded. The rise in short-term wallet usage by holders with one to seven days of holding time ended in significant price rallies, which affected BTC and all major altcoins. New upward movements for Bitcoin seem possible based on CryptoQuant’s data analysis, which shows this activity pattern re-appearing on the market.

Bitcoin Poised for $100K Surge

Price surges in cryptocurrency markets are directly proportional to activity among short-term investors who hold their assets for one week or less. Throughout history, increased flows of short-term holders served as an early alert that accumulation was starting, which usually precedes significant price surges. The current trend suggests that BTC has a strong probability of reaching $100,000, which would trigger a new robust bullish trend.

Daan Crypto Trades warns that Bitcoin exists within a constrained and unstable trading zone. The current price position protects against lower highs, but analysts believe the market shows signs of impending liquidity extraction. A BTC price rise above essential resistance zones without any rejections would signal the start of an extended bullish trend. The market interprets a swift price rejection as BTC clearing its path for temporary market retreats.

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Source: X

BTC Trapped in Price Range

Bitcoin remained confined within the $83,000-$86,000 range during last week, which demonstrated its persistence to stay bound by recent trading patterns. Market participants stand ready with a pause until they identify undeniable directional cues. BTC has the potential to trigger a major market rally if it surpasses the existing resistance levels since it could propel prices toward the $100,000 mark.

Market sentiment appears to have shifted because short-term holders have become more active, yet market uncertainties persist. These market indicators draw close attention from traders because they may lead to BTC price growth in upcoming market periods. The cryptocurrency market could enter a new phase of upward movement when BTC manages to cross the $100,000 threshold during the ongoing trend.

Read More: Ethereum Gears Up for a $2,000 Breakout: Key Network Updates Driving Growth0

Bitcoin’s Rebound From $93K: $96.5K the Next Target

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  • Bitcoin bounced above $94K after a dip triggered by $93K support selling pressure.
  • Binance saw a 15% volume surge, with 12,500 BTC traded, signaling bullish sentiment.
  • Bitcoin faces resistance at $95,500, with support around $93,000 and $94,200 levels.

Bitcoin is gaining momentum, trading above $94,000 after a volatile session triggered by a sell-off. The digital asset dipped briefly when the $93,000 bid liquidity was raided, but strong spot buying emerged. This move shows market resilience, positioning BTC for a potential surge beyond the $95,500 resistance level.

Sellers Hit Bitcoin’s $93K Support, Triggering Dip

According to Skew, sellers tested Bitcoin’s $93,000 support level on April 30, 2025, triggering an immediate fall. However, this pressure was soon absorbed by purchasers at Binance and Coinbase, sending prices surging upward. Taker bids and a rising cumulative volume delta (CVD) reinforced bullish momentum, marking $93K as a vital intraday support level.

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Initial long positions were liquidated during the drop, triggering cascading stop-loss orders. Despite this, new long entries entered as the price bounced from $93,000. CVD turned positive, signaling buyer dominance. The reversal illustrates aggressive trading near psychological zones, offering opportunities for short-term scalpers and algorithmic trading strategies.

Binance reported 15% growth in BTC/USDT volume at approximately 12,500 BTC traded. Coinbase reported a 10% increase at 8,200 BTC exchanged. These figures indicate institutional- or high-volume retail-level buy orders holding at the $93K mark and flipping sentiment to bullish as they move towards the next level of resistance.

Bitcoin’s Breakout Could Target $95,250 or $96,500

BTC rebounded from its low of $92,970 and regained the $93,500 and $93,800 marks. The price broke above the 50% retracement of the $95,195 to $92,970 fall and strengthened above the 100-hourly SMA and regained the mark of $94,000. This shows a strong retest of higher resistance areas.

Bitcoin is trading above the 76.4% Fib retracement of the same decline. A bearish trendline hovers near $95,000, creating immediate resistance. A breakout above this line may spark renewed upside momentum, targeting $95,250 and then $95,500, with the potential to extend gains toward $96,500 or even $98,000.

Bitcoin

On the other hand, breaching $95,500 may draw in fresh downside. The immediate support comes in at around $94,200 and then lower-level support at $93,500. If selling continues, Bitcoin can revisit $93,000 or head lower to $92,500. In the worst case, $91,200 is still the last significant support within the immediate technical framework.

Read More: $800M in Bitcoin: New Docuseries Explores Lost Fortune

$800M in Bitcoin: New Docuseries Explores Lost Fortune

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  • Entertainment firm LEBUL acquires rights for a documentary series on James Howells’ lost $800M Bitcoin hard drive.
  • The docuseries will dramatize Howells’ decade-long legal battle and ongoing efforts to recover his massive crypto fortune.
  • Despite legal losses and planned landfill closure, Howells considers a Supreme Court appeal or buying the entire site.

A billion-dollar bitcoin wallet on a hard drive thrown in the trash in Wales has become the basis of a new documentary series. LEBUL, a leading entertainment firm, has announced that it has obtained the necessary rights to turn the story of James Howells into a documentary series.

Howells was a British engineer who could no longer find the login details to his 8,000 BTC twelve years ago. LEBUL plans to turn the James Howell story into multiple movie-related projects. These projects will involve a storytelling campaign, a standard documentary series and a podcast.

The documentary series will be a movie adaptation of Howells’s 10-year effort to reassess the hard drive from a Newport, Wales landfill. The engineer’s Bitcoin holdings will be worth more than $800 million based on the coin’s current price.

Reese van Allen, a top-level executive at LEBUL, stated that the series won’t just be content; it will include a live-action tech thriller. Howell was an early Bitcoin miner and stated that his former spouse threw away the hard drive accidentally in 2013.

Since that time, he has taken legal action against the Newport City Council to obtain permission and dig up the site. He also went to court seeking that the Newport city council pay him a fraction of the value of the lost BTC.

At one time, Howells demanded financial compensation of 495 million pounds. The British engineer also offered to split the recovered worth of the BTC local residents and the city if they should grant him the approval he sought.

However, on each occasion, the courts cited property and environmental law concerns to rule against him.

Howells Presses On With Finding Lost Bitcoin

Earlier this year, a BBC report revealed that Howells also lost a legal case in a Cardiff high court. During the 2025/26 fiscal year, the council intends to shut down operations of the landfill and convert a portion of it into a solar farm.

The BBC report added that Howells has still not given up. He plans to take the case to the Supreme Court or try the whole landfill. The documentary series by LEBUL will be a mix of blockchain narratives, a personal obsession and environmental conflict in real time.

The entertainment company stated that it has received offers for sponsorship of the project from crypto companies and streaming platforms worldwide. LEBUL’s movie adaptation will make Howells’ story well-known to a wider audience.

This move could turn the forgotten e-waste into a profitable venture through the entertainment

Is Bitcoin (BTC) Poised to Break $95K and Surge to $110K?

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  • Bitcoin remains in a consolidation zone, showing bullish signs with an ascending triangle pattern for a breakout.
  • The $95,000 resistance holds strong, but higher lows indicate growing strength for Bitcoin to breach this key level.
  • Negative funding rates suggest most traders are short, a typical precursor to a bullish breakout for Bitcoin.

Bitcoin price is currently in a consolidation zone and has potential for a bullish breakout in the coming days. Over the past several days, the cryptocurrency has been exhibiting an ascending triangle pattern, which typically indicates further upward movement. The $95,000 resistance level is still refusing price efforts to break out up, but the ascending higher lows support underlines the upward trajectory.

According to Rover analysis, the consolidation pattern is becoming more pronounced on the 1-hour chart. At the same time, Bitcoin is constantly trying to break through the levels at around $95,000 but has not managed to do so thus far. It may pull back to the level and not drop any further below that level for some time again. On the other hand, the higher lows indicate that the BTC price is continuing to gather strength in an attempt to break through this level. This has now turned out to be a pivotal level for traders as they seek to interpret it with a bid to predict its future behavior.

Ascending Triangle Formation

On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin has been forming higher lows and ranging between the flat resistance at the $95,000 level and the rising support line. This creates an ascending triangle. This indicates that such patterns have been followed by upward breakouts 80% of the time in the past. 

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Source: X

The overall funding is now in the negative territory of the market. This means most of the traders have placed their bets on the short side of the rate, which is a well known technical factor that precedes a price rise. It is a fact that brings together many traders who pay attention to the fact that when a large number of traders are long or short, the market moves in the opposite direction. 

Based on the analysis, Bitcoin is expected to experience a breakout once the price surpasses the $95,000 mark, accompanied by high trading volume. Consequently, the next possible figure could be around $101,000. A breach of this level would make way for even higher price levels, at least in the short run. Experts are positive that a big rebound of Bitcoin price might be in the offing.

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Source: X

Bitcoin Poised for Breakout

The daily EMA ribbon has made a bullish crossover, marking the start of an upward trend. In the weekly chart, another bullish crossover on the MACD indicator is pending. All these point to the fact that we are likely to see Bitcoin rise to a higher price soon. As of press time, BTC is trading at $94,727, showing a 0.11% increase over the past day.

Source: TradingView

In the long term, there is potential for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs. The next few weeks are critical, and most of the analysts predict that a breakout will happen in the next 48 hours. If bulls manage to breach through the barriers, BTC is capable of skyrocketing to the $110,000 mark or even higher. The situation is signaling an immediate movement in the market direction, and traders are waiting in anticipation.

As the price of Bitcoin remains stable, the market appears poised for a new upward movement. With several levels of retracement resistance within touching distance, the next couple of days could be an important one for the cryptocurrency. If the bullish trend is confirmed, then a higher high formation may bring a great volatility breakout and a new phase of a Bitcoin price increase.

Read More: Bitcoin’s Skyrocketing Value: Will a Pullback to $80k Lead to the Next Big Move?

Arthur Hayes Sets $1M Bitcoin Target by 2028, Lists 3 Key Triggers

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  • Arthur Hayes projected a strong recovery for both crypto and stock markets during his speech at Token2049 in Dubai.
  • He expects increased liquidity from policy shifts to fuel a broad asset rally across risk-on markets.
  • Hayes believes the current macroeconomic climate resembles the environment before previous crypto surges.

Maelstrom CIO and BitMEX founder Arthur Hayes predicted market strengthening during Token2049 in Dubai. His analysis showed the market will experience substantial growth, affecting cryptocurrency and stock markets. The prediction gained support from Hayes by examining important macroeconomic patterns and policy changes.

The higher level of liquidity will start a new growth cycle. As Hayes observes, the market today resembles how it was during earlier price increases. According to his view, the economic environments match historically, which underscores his positive outlook for the market.

According to Hayes, the necessary elements for market growth can be found in policy movements and financial intervention methods. He believes capital inflow will maintain its momentum across risk-based assets. Digital currencies comprise part of his belief for an upcoming rising market that results from an overall market rally.

Bitcoin Could Rise Amid Liquidity Expansion

Arthur Hayes believes that the United States economy will restore expansionary monetary policies comparable to its quantitative easing approach. During his interview, Hayes mentioned the Federal Reserve’s repo interventions of 2022, during which the system received $2.5 trillion in injections. 

Moreover, Hayes stated that the current level of market concern matches that from late 2022, just before crypto suffered its large decline. Despite unfavorable public attitudes during that period, the financial sector administered stimulus packages. 

As per Hayes, rising government debt combined with upcoming spending demands will indirectly force hedge funds to finance liquidity. The funds will help markets by undertaking Treasury buybacks. From his perspective, the cycle could enhance risk-on assets, including Bitcoin.

Ethereum to Follow Bitcoin’s Lead

Though Bitcoin remained the primary focus, Ethereum could benefit from increased capital flows. Hayes believes that broader crypto markets often respond to Bitcoin-led liquidity shifts. Ethereum typically moves in tandem during strong uptrends.

He explained that Ethereum could gain traction as capital seeks high-performing alternatives. A rising tide in digital assets might lift major altcoins along with Bitcoin. Hayes positioned Ethereum as a likely secondary beneficiary.

Market patterns historically show Ethereum closely tracks Bitcoin’s movements during monetary expansion. Given expected liquidity injections, he anticipates a resurgence in Ethereum’s valuation. The asset may regain momentum as confidence returns.

Stocks and Crypto May Rise Together

Hayes forecasted that equity markets would receive similar advantages from future liquidity growth in addition to digital currencies. According to his statement, the previous monetary easing periods saw upward movements in stocks alongside digital assets. The observed patterns indicate shared development patterns between the assets.

Hayes anticipated market surge is due to central bank operations and hedge fund market actions. Extended bond issuance attracts major purchasing operations from various investors, and monetary policy lends indirect support to stock and equity markets.

According to Hayes, financial backing for risky assets would make all risk-on investments more appealing to the market. Although slippage might occur, cryptocurrency values would also increase alongside stock market growth.