
Kalshi rule controversy has gained momentum after the CFTC of the USA told the prediction market platform to continue working in Michigan despite the directive by the state courts that it should cease doing so. Kalshi has complained that it is put into “an impossible situation” by the two contradicting rulings; thus, it has no option but to choose one over the other.
Kalshi Rule Conflict Between Michigan Court and CFTC
On June 29, the Circuit Court judge from Ingham County, Rosemarie Aquilina, issued an injunction that banned Kalshi from offering any sports event contracts to its Michigan customers until their legal issues were resolved.

According to Kalshi, it has followed the court’s ruling by cancelling and unwinding these trades. But according to Tuesday’s ruling from the CFTC, the CFTC told the firm not to follow the ruling of Michigan, but to continue its operations. The Kalshi Rule conflict is now a big case of legal jurisdiction.

Head of enforcement and legal counsel at Kalshi, Robert DeNault, said in a statement on X that the company perceives the issue as unjust since it has conflicting orders from two jurisdictions to follow.
As DeNault puts it, Kalshi has done all that the Michigan court instructed it to do by reversing the trades, which left it no other option but to follow its order. At the same time, the firm should take into account the requirements of the federal regulator, as instructed by the CFTC, in addition to the existing Kalshi Rule conflict.
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CFTC Defends Federal Oversight
The CFTC stated that Michigan was the first state to intervene in contracts in derivatives that had already been made. Michael Selig, chairman of the CFTC, explained that the cancellation of contracts may affect the entire market as well as confidence in the contract agreements.
Michael Selig added that the CFTC will not allow any state or state courts to make CFTC-registered exchanges violate the provisions of the Commodity Exchange Act. The CFTC believes that the federal government must have supremacy in the Kalshi Rule case.
Kalshi Rule May Reshape US Markets
According to a spokesperson from Kalshi, the firm is evaluating the order by the CFTC.
During an interview on Fox Business a few days ago, the chair of the CFTC, Michael Selig, said that ensuring the jurisdictional control of the CFTC over the prediction markets is one of his top priorities. Further, he stated that the CFTC has initiated lawsuits against nine states so far and will pursue any other state that tries to bring civil or criminal suits against the CFTC-registered exchanges.
The Kalshi Rule case may establish an important precedent in the regulation of prediction markets in the US.
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