Prediction markets platform Polymarket launched new contracts tied to private company milestones. The products cover IPO timing, valuation targets, earnings, and secondary market activity. The company said resolution data will come only from Nasdaq Private Market through a new partnership.
The prediction markets launch gives users event-based access to major private firms. It does not provide equity ownership or shares. Polymarket said the category will focus on verifiable outcomes linked to private market activity.
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Prediction Markets Open Access to Private Firm Events
According to the report, CEO Shayne Coplan said prediction markets can widen access to financial information and opportunity. He said the new products bring visibility to a part of finance that retail users have rarely been able to access.
Coplan said users can engage with outcomes that drive value at major private companies. Those outcomes include valuation milestones, IPO timing, and secondary-market activity. The platform described the contracts as a transparent way to follow private company events.
Some of the first contracts visible on Polymarket are OpenAI, Anthropic, Stripe, Databricks, and Kraken. These markets query whether selected firms will trade at specified value points on specific dates.
Hyperliquid-based TradeXYZ launched pre-IPO perpetual futures, but Polymarket takes a different approach. This included products associated with Cerebras, as well as SpaceX, the company owned by Elon Musk. Its mission is to convert private market sentiment into real, on-chain tradable markets.
Nasdaq Data Backs Polymarket Contracts
Polymarket, on the other hand, is event contracts of a milestone-based nature. Instead, it relies on prediction markets that settle on outcomes rather than ownership rights. This keeps the products away from direct investment exposure to private companies.
Nasdaq Private Market will be the source of the data used to verify the new contracts. Polymarket CEO Tom Callahan noted that the platform they have built has the power to unlock greater access. Any data, he said, will make accurate resolutions in the market.
In addition, prediction markets may also provide institutional investors with options, the company said. These contracts might serve as a near-real-time signal for sentiment and pricing of private company shares. Signals like these may be important before firms reach the public markets.
In addition, the prediction markets category expands Polymarket’s base of contracts. New market launches reached record monthly highs in every month over the past year. Polymarket says it has processed roughly $39 billion of U.S. activity in 2026.
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