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You are here: Home / Cryptocurrency News / Bitcoin (BTC) / Was $74K a Bull Trap? Bitcoin Traders Split on 2022 Crash Replay

Was $74K a Bull Trap? Bitcoin Traders Split on 2022 Crash Replay

What to know:

  • Traders are divided on whether BTC has hit its lowest point or could drop further, highlighting uncertainty in its price path.
  • Analysts point to similarities with the 2022 bear cycle, suggesting a potential drop below $60,000.
  • Others argue this cycle is different, citing strong institutional ETF inflows and supply tightening.

By Ananthyka J | Edited By Ammar Raza,March 7, 2026, 2:00 AM

Bitcoin

Bitcoin just recently made quite a jump to $74, 000 and that has really set the debate among traders on fire. Some think the crypto has hit its lowest point while others remain pessimistic and think it could go even lower. The sharply contrasting opinions just go on to demonstrate how uncertain BTC’s price path is still.

Bearish Signs: History Could Repeat?

Bitcoin Hyper observes that BTC, in the previous two cycles, made a local high about 140, 150 days after its all, time high before declining.

$BTC made a local high around 140–150 days after its all-time high in the previous two cycles before pushing lower pic.twitter.com/VU6sUlTXz3

— BitcoinHyper (@BitcoinHypers) March 5, 2026

Dossiers argue that BTC’s present technical pattern is so much like that of the 2022 bear market where a further drop of below $60, 000 might be in store.

Bitcoin
Source: www.ifcmarkets.co.in

Trader Bitcoin Isaiah aligns himself with this view and after calling the move to $74, 000 the ‘perfect local top indicator, ‘ he cautions that the bulls’ early celebrations might backfire and cause them to be dumped even more.

Bitcoin bear markets tend to have 3 major downturns.

After only 5 months, we've already had 2 of them.

Some would argue the 3rd downturn wouldn't have happened if it wasn't for FTX.

For this reason, I think it makes sense to prepare for a 3rd downturn. But it's not guaranteed. pic.twitter.com/XcmLNf3IgK

— ₿ Isaiah ⚡️ (@BitcoinIsaiah) March 3, 2026

Also Read: CleanSpark Offloads 553 BTC in February Amid Rising BTC Miner Sales

Bullish Counterpoints

Bitcoin Munger thinks that the 2022 bear market pattern is not a “valid reason to be bearish” as this cycle is different, he refers to strong institutional ETF inflows and supply tightening.

Many are showing the 2022 Bitcoin bear fractal as a reason to be bearish.

This doesn't look so similar anymore to me though. One cut right through the 200-week MA, one did not. pic.twitter.com/aCyR0tOYQg

— Bitcoin Munger (@bitcoinmunger) March 5, 2026

Master of Crypto anticipates a strong rally to $75,000 – $80,000 if the upper trend line at $70, 000 is confirmed as support.

That move above $70K wasn’t strength.⁰It was a setup.$BTC pumped, wiped out $229M in shorts…
⁰Then dumped to $67K and liquidated $191M in longs.

Both sides got trapped.

Now here’s the key part.

There’s liquidity left between $62K–$65K.

But below, $69K–$72K. holds almost… pic.twitter.com/bR2rIUkVVt

— Master of Crypto (@MasterCryptoHq) March 3, 2026

Also Read: BTC Holds $71.5K as U.S. Futures Turn Green on Iran Talks Report

Market Outlook

The contrasting opinions reflect the uncertainty about BTC’s price movement. On one hand, some analysts find similarities between the current market and 2022 bear cycle, but on the other, some highlight fundamental differences that may pave way for a rally.

Also Read: BTC’s Resilient Bottom Formation: Unlocking Key Technical Indicators in Q1

Filed Under: Bitcoin (BTC), Cryptocurrency News

About Ananthyka J

Ananthyka J is a market reporter at Tronweekly, reporting on cryptocurrency news. She covers cryptocurrency markets, blockchain technology, and digital asset regulation, focusing on Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi, altcoins, and crypto policy. Her reporting emphasizes clear and accurate market coverage, including crypto market movements, regulatory developments, and blockchain adoption. She holds a BA in Journalism and Mass Communication and an MA in Communication and Media Studies. She has also completed multiple media internships, follows strict editorial and fact-checking standards, and discloses potential conflicts of interest when reporting.

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