XRP Eyes $3.61? Five Powerful Indicators Signal Imminent Breakout

Add as a preferred source on Google

Key Takeaways:

  • XRP trades in a tight zone surrounded by converging technical indicators, including the Ichimoku Cloud, Fibonacci levels, EMAs, and a cup pattern.
  • The current price at $2.16 remains just below strong resistance levels and just above critical support at $2.07.
  • Market watcher Dark Defender expects targets at $2.22 and $3.61, with a 67% surge needed to hit the upper level.

XRP is entering a pivotal moment as several technical structures lock in on a common price range. Since peaking at $3.4 in January 2025, the token has corrected and gradually recovered, forming what appears to be a well-defined cup pattern on the daily chart.

The base of the cup hit a low of $1.61 in early April and has since arched back up toward the $2.16 mark. The pattern now brings XRP to the edge of what many traders recognize as the “rim,” typically the zone where major price reactions occur.

Dark Defender, a widely followed crypto market figure, highlighted this rim area as the intersection point of a powerful mix of chart signals. A long-running descending trendline, which began at the January high, continues to press down on price movement.

XRP has approached this line again, but this time under new conditions, flanked by rising momentum from the cup formation and an overlapping range of Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) that often suggest pressure building for a breakout.

The Ichimoku Cloud Signals a Thin Window

Overlapping with cup and cup formation is the Ichimoku Cloud that covers XRP’s chart since February. Presently, exchanges of the token within this cloud are typically viewed as an area of indecision within the market. However, what is unusual with regard to this case is that its cloud is narrow.

Thin clouds are shallow and therefore offer minimum resistance or support, a scenario that tends to result in aggressive one-way pricing action. The current cloudiness over XRP implies that the pricing could drastically exit such a range in the near term.

Adding to the tension are compressed EMAs, with several moving averages clustered together in the current cost area. Conventionally, such compressions are deemed to be a predictor of vigorous movements, as with a compressed spring.

XRP Approaches Major Resistance at $2.22

Fibonacci retracement levels, derived from the $3.4 high, form clear points of pressure. XRP trades just below the 61.8% retracement at $2.1958 and the 70.2% level at $2.2895.

Meanwhile, 50% retracement at $2.0706 now provides a definite base. The overlap of such levels within a narrow range also boosts market tension.

If XRP breaks through these combined resistances, Dark Defender is forecasting a swift test of $2.22 and a more remote jump to $3.61. To achieve the latter would require a 67% rally off current prices. With all significant signals now aligned, XRP’s breakthrough moment might be close at hand.

Related Reading | XRP’s Next Move: Will It Soar Above $2.22 or Fall to $2.07?

Mishal Ali

Mishal Ali

Mishal Ali is a Policy and Regulations Reporter at Tron Weekly with over four years of experience covering the global crypto and blockchain space. Her reporting focuses on crypto regulations and policy, alongside Bitcoin, Ethereum, altcoins, DeFi, NFTs, Web3, Layer 2 solutions, and AI-driven crypto use cases. She also tracks Ripple-related developments, enforcement actions, licensing updates, and crypto scams and fraud trends, helping readers understand regulatory and compliance risks.

Articles: 3137