XTZ Price Drops 96% From ATH: Could a Breakout Spark a 5,500% Rally?

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Tezos remains under bearish pressure as weak momentum indicators and declining trading activity continue to weigh on market sentiment. However, analysts believe long-term accumulation near key support levels could eventually set the stage for a broader recovery in the XTZ price.

Tezos (XTZ) remains in a strong bearish trend, though analysts see signs of accumulation by long-term buyers. Weak RSI, declining volume, and falling open interest reflect cautious sentiment, while a breakout above key resistance could indicate the start of a potential recovery for the XTZ price.

At the time of writing, XTZ is trading at $0.3365 with a 24-hour trading volume of $9.54 million and a market capitalization of $365.32 million. After the loss of 1.37% over the last 24 hours, the question is whether the token could maintain its bullish recovery or lead to deeper retracements.

XTZ Price chart

Source: CoinMarketCap

XTZ Price Accumulation Signals Potential Reversal

Furthermore, the crypto analyst Crypto Patel revealed that the XTZ price has dropped nearly 96% from its $9.17 all-time high, now hovering around $0.34 after prolonged bearish pressure.

Price action suggests a possible accumulation range between $0.20 and $0.16, where long-term buyers may be quietly absorbing supply. However, the broader trend remains bearish, with confirmation still absent.

XTZ Price Accumulation Signals Potential Reversal

Source: Crypto Patel’s X Post

The bullish trend reversal will come only if the price closes above $0.6418. It opens the doors to profit at $1.30, $4, and even $10, indicating a possible 5,500% increase. 

However, the trade remains risky if the XTZ price falls below $0.17 because this invalidates the pattern. Meanwhile, the best approach is to be patient, as trend reversal cycles tend to begin unnoticed during the accumulation phase.

Also Read: Top 5 Budget-Friendly Cryptos: Jupiter (JUP), Tezos (XTZ), PNUT, and More Primed for a Bullish Run

RSI and EMAs Point to Strong Bearish Dominance

According to TradingView, the XTZ price is being influenced by a strong bearish momentum on a macro level. Currently, the XRZ price stands at $0.33555. 

The XTZ price is moving downwards, constrained by a bearish EMAs pattern. The two EMAs, the 20-day EMA of $0.35588 and the 50-day EMA of $0.36559, make up a strong resistance level, whereas the 200-day EMA confirms long-term seller dominance.

RSI and EMAs Point to Strong Bearish Dominance

Source: TradingView

XTZ is floating like a duck on water near an important horizontal support level of $0.33000, retesting the March lows. 

The momentum remains weak, as per the RSI, which is hovering close to a dull level of 39.72, marginally below the yellow line on the chart. A lower reading below 50 means that there is continued downward pressure.

XTZ Derivative Data Point to Decreasing Strength

However, the XTZ open interest dropped by 1.89% to hit $13.13 million. This is an indication that some investors are exiting their current positions instead of entering new trades, suggesting reduced optimism in the market.

XTZ Derivative Data Point to Decreasing Strength

Source: Coinglass

The trading volume is down by 44.63% to $8.73 million. This decline suggests low levels of participation and low liquidity, which could be indications of a conservative attitude of the investors.

This article contains market analysis and price predictions. These are not guarantees. Crypto markets are volatile. Always DYOR. Not financial advice.

Also Read: Tezos (XTZ) Falling Wedge Signals Potential Bullish Reversal Toward $7.960

Usman Zafar

Usman Zafar

Usman Zafar is a News Desk writer at Tronweekly with over five years of experience in cryptocurrency and blockchain journalism. He covers Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi, crypto laws and regulation, market activity, Layer 2 scaling solutions, and blockchain-based innovations, focusing on fast-moving developments and official industry updates. Usman previously wrote for BTCread and follows strict verification and editing practices to ensure accurate, timely, and responsible crypto news for a global audience.

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