NEAR Price Eyes Breakout to $3.40 as TVL Reaches $70M and Bulls Return

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NEAR is testing major trendline resistance after recovering from its $1.55 low, with bulls targeting a potential move toward $3.40. A bullish EMA structure supports the recovery, while $70 million in confidential TVL and mixed derivatives activity provide additional signals for traders watching the breakout.

NEAR Protocol (NEAR) is showing a strong recovery as buyers test major long-term resistance. Bullish structure remains intact despite cooling momentum, while stronger ecosystem activity and market participation support the outlook.

A decisive breakout could improve sentiment, strengthen the broader recovery trend, and attract renewed buying interest.

NEAR Price Tests Major Trendline Resistance

NEAR is approaching a crucial technical resistance level after recovering strongly from its recent lows. Crypto analyst Crypto Warrior highlighted that the token is currently testing a major trendline. 

A successful breakout could significantly change NEAR’s market structure and potentially create room for an advance toward the $3.40 target.

NEAR price prediction

Source: Crypto Warrior’s X Post

The recovery follows an extended consolidation period during July and August, when NEAR struggled to establish sustained upward momentum. The token eventually bottomed near $1.55 before buyers returned with stronger conviction. 

This move pushed NEAR through several important moving averages and carried the price toward the $2.70 area.

Also Read: NEAR Price Eyes $3 Recovery as NEAR Intents Goes Live on Hydration

NEAR EMA Alignment Point to Bullish Structure 

TradingView chart analysis shows that NEAR has reclaimed its 20, 50, 100, and 200-day exponential moving averages during the recovery. 

These averages remain cleanly stacked in bullish alignment above approximately $1.86. The structure suggests that buyers have regained control of the broader trend after the prolonged consolidation phase.

NEAR technical analysis

Source: TradingView

Despite the stronger medium-term structure, NEAR has recently entered a short-term pullback. The token has declined roughly 6.44% to $2.30900, indicating some selling pressure near resistance. 

Price is now consolidating around the 20-day EMA at $2.20412, making this level important for maintaining the current bullish recovery.

NEAR Price Momentum Shows Signs of Cooling

Momentum indicators currently present a mixed picture. The MACD line and signal line remain above the zero level, keeping the broader momentum structure positive. 

However, the declining histogram bars indicate that upward momentum is fading. This suggests NEAR could require another consolidation phase before buyers attempt a stronger breakout.

This would make the 20-day EMA an important test of NEAR in the near term. Staying above this dynamic support would ensure that the recovery structure remains intact and give the buyers a chance to test the resistance once again. Conversely, breaking down from this level would put pressure on the formation itself.

NEAR Derivatives Activity Remains Cautious

According to Coinglass, the 24-hour trading volume of NEAR increased by 9.98% to $658.61 million, reflecting increased activity in the crypto asset market. However, the open interest decreased by 15.80% to $543.02 million. 

Such different trends indicate that investors are limiting their leverage positions despite the growing interest in trading.

NEAR derivative outlook

Source: Coinglass

This contrast suggests that derivatives traders should be careful when positioning. An increase in volume can help in providing liquidity for the possible breakout, but lower open interest implies lower conviction about the leveraged positions. 

If NEAR tests resistance once more while both volume and open interest rise, it may confirm the breakout trade case.

NEAR Ecosystem Activity Adds Support

Apart from the pricing mechanism, the happenings in the NEAR ecosystem also present one more aspect to watch out for in the market. 

According to MSB Intel data, the private total value locked in NEAR has hit $70 million. This data further revealed that the snapshot for [email protected] is now complete.

The ecosystem movement provides an added layer of understanding for the positive development in the market structure of NEAR, despite the need for technical validation that takes precedence at the moment. 

The buyers need to hold onto the present support region and ultimately break through the significant trend line.

What Happens Next for NEAR?

The bounce higher of NEAR above $1.55 has improved the technical formation of NEAR. However, the negative MACD histogram readings and lower open interest mean that NEAR may still not have much momentum. 

A critical trend line test awaits NEAR, and a break of this resistance would see it reach for $3.40.

Also Read: NEAR Price Eyes Breakout to $3.08 as Volume and Open Interest Surge

This article contains market analysis and price predictions. These are not guarantees. Crypto markets are volatile. Always DYOR. Not financial advice.

Usman Zafar

Usman Zafar

Usman Zafar is a News Desk writer at Tronweekly with over five years of experience in cryptocurrency and blockchain journalism. He covers Bitcoin, Ethereum, DeFi, crypto laws and regulation, market activity, Layer 2 scaling solutions, and blockchain-based innovations, focusing on fast-moving developments and official industry updates. Usman previously wrote for BTCread and follows strict verification and editing practices to ensure accurate, timely, and responsible crypto news for a global audience.

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